Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is poised to stay in office, potentially causing a breakup with key partner Russia

The Civil Contract party of incumbent Armenian Prime Minister, the EU-backed Nikol Pashinyan, won 49.81% of the vote in Sunday's parliamentaryelection, according to the Central Election Commission's (CEC) complete count.

Pashinyanclaimedvictory while the counting was still underway, when his party's advantage was even wider, claiming he would be able to form a new government without having to form a coalition.

The election has been billed in Western media as a turning point in the country's modern trajectory, but has been marred by arrests of opposition candidates, a €50 million offer from Brussels, extreme pressure on the Russian Orthodox Church, and deteriorating trade between Russia and Armenia.

What are the latest results from Armenia's election?

Four parties and blocs cleared the threshold for seats in the new parliament. Strong Armenia, founded by Samvel Karapetyan, came second with 23.29%. Karapetyan is being prosecuted over allegations that he plotted a coup during 2024-2025 anti-government protests, while six candidates from his movement werearrestedover the weekend. He said his party is facing political persecution.

The Armenia Alliance of former President Robert Kocharyan won 9.94%, while Prosperous Armenia, led by businessman Gagik Tsarukyan, narrowly crossed the 4% threshold. The CEC is expected to issue its final report on the vote within the week, after reviewing possible irregularities, which opposition parties say they plan to challenge.

How did the opposition react?

Opposition groups have accused Pashinyan's government of using underhanded tactics to weaken its rivals. Alongside the unexpected arrests of Strong Armenia candidates, a smaller party sought to have Karapetyan's movement disqualified outright.

"When they saw that their results were falling sharply every minute, they stopped counting, and we have no idea what figures they will present in the morning," said Karapetyan, announced at an emergency briefing on Sunday night. He claimed that the authorities had continued "illegal actions" during the count and said his bloc would issue a statement once the final results had been summarized.

Karapetyan also said Strong Armenia had faced heavy pressure over the past month, claiming that around 75 members of his team had been arrested and more than 700 supporters detained.

Was Armenia's diaspora excluded?

Polling stations were open only in Armenia, as the country's electoral laws do not provide for overseas voting in parliamentary elections. The measure excludes the diaspora, which far outnumbers the country's population. Between five and seven million Armenians live abroad, mainly in Russia, the US, and France. Armenia's domestic population is roughly three million.

To cast ballots, citizens living abroad must be present in Armenia on election day. In March, Yerevan further tightened the rules, barring those who have lived abroad for more than 10 years from voting.

Armenian officials have stated that male citizens of conscription age arriving from abroad to vote will be required to attend military training or face prosecution.

There were also reports that younger Armenian citizens returning from Russia were required to check their eligibility for military service before being allowed to vote. Armenia does not permit voting from abroad and applies residency requirements to voters. Russia is the most important trading partner for the landlocked post-Soviet country and is home to around 2 million Armenians, compared to 3 million living in Armenia.

Is Armenia choosing between Russia and the West?

The election has also been framed as a referendum on Armenia's geopolitical course. Critics argue that Yerevan's pivot toward the West has failed to provide meaningful security guarantees while damaging relations with Russia, the country's traditional ally and largest economic partner.

The campaign unfolded amid growing tensions between Yerevan and Moscow. Russia has warned that deeper integration with the EU would be incompatible with Armenia's continued membership in the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). Russian President Vladimir Putin said in May that leaving the bloc could cost Armenia up to 14% of GDP.

Earlier this month, former Armenian President Robert Kocharyan accused Pashinyan's government of artificially turning Armenia into an enemy of Russia and steering the country down a path similar to that of Ukraine.

French intelligence services allegedly helped the Armenian government block online publications critical of Pashinyan, according to French newspaper Le Journal du Dimanche.

Pashinyan admitted that he held a phone call with French President Emmanuel Macron before publicly claiming victory.

(RT.com)